1.0 Introduction
A workshop was held on March 30, 1999 to evaluate the bioaccumulation
component of the Regional Monitoring Program for Trace Substances (RMP).
This evaluation was performed within the context of the revised overall
program objectives that were formulated as a result of the Five-Year Review
(Bernstein and OConnor, 1997). These revised program objectives
are as follows:
- Describe patterns and trends in contaminant concentration and
distribution.
- Describe general sources and loadings of contamination to the
Estuary.
- Measure contamination effects on selected parts of the Estuary
ecosystem.
- Compare monitoring information to relevant water quality objectives
and other guidelines.
- Synthesize and distribute information from a range of sources
to present a more complete picture of the sources, distribution, fates,
and effects of contaminants in the Estuary ecosystem.
The revised program objectives formed the basis for revised objectives
for the bioaccumulation component of the RMP, as follows:
- Determine trends in tissue contamination.
- Measure the bioavailable portion of contaminants in the water column.
- Evaluate which contaminants may be transferred to higher trophic levels
of the food web.
- Determine pathways and loadings of contaminants to the Estuary.
- Determine effects of contaminants in the Estuary.
The goal of this workshop was to provide recommendations to the Technical
Review Committee on ways to improve the ability of the program to address
these objectives. Consequently, discussion at the workshop included consideration
of whether the transplanted bivalve method currently used to measure bioaccumulation
is the most appropriate way to achieve each of these objectives, as well
as ways to improve the transplanted bivalve method. Workshop participants
are shown in Table 1.
The discussions at the workshop were wide-ranging and provided numerous
opinions regarding the bioaccumulation component and the best ways to
achieve the program objectives. Consensus on the various opinions and
recommendations was not necessarily achieved at the workshop and this
document seeks to synthesize the current state of knowledge concerning
the transplanted bivalve method, and provides recommendations for improving
and streamlining the program that are consistent with the general direction
of discussions at the workshop. In some cases, recommendations are contingent
upon additional information or analyses of the existing transplanted bivalve
data.
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2.0 Current Program Configuration
Currently, the bioaccumulation component of the RMP has the following
configuration:
- Bivalves are obtained from historically clean locations for
transplantation into the Estuary. Mytilus californianus are obtained
from Bodega Head, Crassostrea gigas are obtained from a commercial grower
in Tomales Bay, and Corbicula fluminea were obtained from Lake Isabella,
until the population crashed in 1996. Currently, resident C. fluminea
are collected from RMP sampling sites for analysis, because new transplant
populations have not been found in clean locations.
- Bivalves are transplanted to 15 sites (Figure 1).
- Bivalves are deployed for two 90-day periods each year, one during
the wet season (January-April) and one during the dry season (June-September).
- Bivalves are analyzed for condition, trace metals, and trace organic
contaminants.
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program configuration
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3.0 Recommendations for Redesign
This section is organized according to program objective. We present
a brief summary of findings and recommendations for redesign associated
with each objective.
3.1 Objective #1Determine Trends in
Tissue Contamination
Findings
Bivalves respond to changes in water concentrations of contaminants,
and they integrate contaminants from the water column over time (Gunther,
et al. 1999; Gunther and Davis, 1997; De Kock and Kramer, 1994). The State
Mussel Watch (SMW) program has been in existence for almost two decades
and represents an invaluable long-term database of bivalve bioaccumulation
that should be continued by the RMP. The SMW program has employed mussels,
Mytilus californianus, and clams, Corbicula fluminea (the latter as both
transplants and residents). The RMP transplanted bivalves reveal trends
that are not apparent from data on water contaminants, suggesting that
bivalves may be especially valuable for tracking long-term changes in
contaminant concentrations in the Estuary. For instance, recent analysis
of data from 1993-1997 indicated significant increases in copper and decreases
in PCBs in transplanted mussels that were not revealed in water data.
Nevertheless, these findings and interpretation of the transplanted bivalve
data are complicated by several facts:
- Contaminant trends are not consistent between bivalve species. Significant
estuary-wide trends in mussels were not observed in oysters.
- The mussel trends for different contaminants were more or less apparent
depending on the season.
- Regression analyses suggest that non-contaminant environmental factors
may affect bivalve bioaccumulation and indicators of health. Salinity,
dissolved oxygen, temperature, and total suspended solids had the greatest
effects, but statistical procedures allow adjustments to data to account
for these effects.
- Periodic high mortality of transplanted bivalves is usually related
to low salinities and high temperatures for mussels and oysters, respectively.
- Populations of Corbicula fluminea at clean sites recently have declined
dramatically, and we do not current know of an alternate clean site
to obtain clams for transplanting to the river sites.
Additional data analyses were recently undertaken using mussel data to
help determine the optimum design for achieving this objective. The first
step in these analyses consisted of assessing the presence of site groupings
that would provide the basis for characterizing the Estuary with fewer
than the current number of sampling sites (Figure 2).
The Bray-Curtis similarity index (Bray and Curtis, 1957), which is normally
used to determine site similarities based on organism abundances, was
calculated to determine the similarities between sites based on mean concentrations
of trace metals, PAHs, and PCBs. This index can range from 0.0, in which
case the sites share none of the contaminants, to 100.0, in which case
the sites share all of the contaminants and have identical mean concentrations.
These similarities were then clustered using an unweighted pair-group
method (Swartz, 1978) to graphically represent the affinities among the
sites for each group of contaminants.

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The second step in these analyses consisted of predicting the ability
of the transplanted bivalve method to detect changes over time and differences
between reaches of the Estuary under various sample reduction scenarios.
The percentage of change that could be detected with regression analysis
over a five-year period in each reach of the Estuary was estimated for
each season separately and for both seasons together using the methods
of Gerrodette (1987). Gerrodettes methods for estimating the power
of regression analyses to detect trends do not account for the increase
in power due to analysis of replicate samples at each point in time, and
we are not aware of a method that does. Nevertheless, these methods are
based upon the coefficient of variation (CV, the percentage of the mean
represented by the standard deviation) within sets of samples from each
point in time. These methods also assume that samples are distributed
over time and that the change over time (i.e., trend) is linear. The amount
of difference between reaches that could be detected with analysis of
variance (ANOVA) was also estimated using the method of Sokal and Rohlf
(1995). Because the results of these analyses vary according to analyte,
we focused our efforts on copper, mercury, nickel, selenium, total lipid-normalized
PAHs and total lipid-normalized PCBs.
The cluster analyses revealed different patterns for each group of contaminants
(Figures 3-5). Although delineation of clusters
is somewhat arbitrary, trace metals provided relatively little definition
of site groupings, with high similarities among all site/season combinations
except wet-season samples from Dumbarton Bridge and Red Rock (Figure
3). Similarities based on mean concentrations of PAH analytes revealed
several clusters that separated generally along seasonal and regional
lines (Figure 4). Cluster 1 consisted of dry-season
samples from sites between Redwood Creek and Yerba Buena Island, cluster
2 consisted of dry-season samples from Dumbarton Bridge and Pinole Point
plus both seasons from Horseshoe Bay. Cluster 3 consisted of the remainder
of the wet-season samples, except for Redwood Creek, and cluster 5 consisted
of the Bodega Head samples. These clusters generally differed according
to mean concentrations of total lipid-normalized PAHs, with the dry-season
samples from each Estuary site having the highest concentrations. Similarities
based on mean concentrations of PCB congeners revealed several clusters
that were generally based on regions (Figure 5).
Clusters 1 and 2 included both seasons for all sites from Yerba Buena
Island south to Dumbarton Bridge, and cluster 3 included both seasons
for all sites from Horseshoe Bay to Pinole Point. Cluster 4 included both
seasons from Bodega Head. These clusters also generally differed according
to mean concentrations of total lipid-normalized total PCBs, with southern
dry-season samples having higher concentrations. The different clustering
patterns for the three groups of contaminants suggest that there is no
single strategy for delineating groups of sites that is applicable to
all contaminants.
The best across-the-board strategy for grouping sites will probably be
based on arbitrary geographic definitions of Estuary reaches. For the
following analyses of power in regression analyses and ANOVA, the South
Reach includes Dumbarton Bridge, Redwood Creek, and Alameda. The Central
Reach includes Yerba Buena Island and Horseshoe Bay, and the North Reach
includes Red Rock and Pinole Point (Figure 2).
Based on the average CV within sampling periods, the predicted percentage
change that might be detectable with five samples (e.g., annual samples
over five years) varied from 6.48% in wet season mercury from the Central
Reach to 78-46% in wet season nickel from the North Reach (Table
2). The combination of wet and dry season samples to provide 10 samples
over time decreased the estimated percentage change that could be detected
for each analyte in each reach, often by substantial amounts. With 10
samples, the predicted percentage change that might be detectable ranged
from 4.78% for mercury in the Central Reach to 20-50% for nickel in the
North Reach.
The differences in predicted detectable percentage change for wet season
and dry season samples varied inconsistently among reaches and analytes.
There were six cases in which high power (i.e., <15% predicted detectable
change) was indicated for wet season samples and one case in which high
power was indicated for dry season samples. Nevertheless, the predicted
results were often not reflected in the actual regressions, because trends
did not always accompany low predicted detectable percentage changes.
In these cases, the low CVs indicate that all the sites within the reach
had similar concentrations of contaminants, but the concentrations either
varied irregularly through time or did not vary with time. Moreover, the
actual regression results indicated several cases in which very significant
regressions occurred when the predicted detectable percentage change was
high (e.g., dry season PAHs in every reach), indicating especially strong
trends. There were eight and 10 cases in which significant actual regressions
(P<0.10) occurred for wet and dry seasons, respectively. There were
seven significant regressions for both seasons combined. These results
suggest that there is not an optimum season for detecting trends that
applies to all contaminants, but that sampling in both seasons might not
always improve detection of actual trends.
Although the influence of replicate samples was not determined for the
analysis of predicted detectable percentage change, actual regression
results were used to evaluate this issue. The inclusion of 3, 2, and 2
sites to characterize the South, Central, and North reaches, respectively,
resulted in the detection of numerous significant regressions (Table
2). But when individual sites were analyzed for seasonal copper and
total PAHs, the two analytes with the strongest actual regressions, few
significant regressions occurred (Table 3). Only
in the case of wet season copper in the Central Reach and dry season copper
in the North Reach did both sites exhibit significant regressions consistent
with the overall trend for that reach. Moreover, where significant reach-wide
regressions occurred, the probability was always lower than for any individual
site. These results suggest that five-year trends in reaches cannot generally
be adequately described using single sites.
The ability to detect differences between reaches using ANOVA is also
strongly affected by the number of sites analyzed per reach. In the case
of ANOVA comparisons, each site represents a replicate sample within its
reach. The predicted percentage differences between reaches that could
be detected for each analyte was substantially less (i.e., greater power)
for three samples than for two samples (Table 4).
The percentage difference that can be detected using three samples ranged
from 37.23 for wet season mercury to 150.85 for wet season nickel.
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back to Table description
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The percentage difference that can be detected using two samples ranged
from 56.57 for wet season mercury to 229.22 for wet season nickel. The
decrease in the predicted detectable percentage difference was proportional
to the number of samples, with three samples being able to detect a difference
that was two-thirds the difference detectable with two samples.
Recommendations
In order to track trends, the RMP should maintain sites and methods comparable
to SMW and the last six years of RMP data collection. Although long-term
trends are more apparent in the dry season than in the wet season, the
low CVs in many wet season samples suggest that the bivalves are responding
to real phenomena that vary from year-to-year on a non-linear basis. While
this wet season information is useful for determining processes and pathways
for entry of contaminants into the Estuary (see Objective #4), transplanting
bivalves in the wet season could perhaps be suspended without seriously
affecting the programs ability to achieve Objective #1. Bivalves
should be deployed at more than one site to characterize trends within
and differences among reaches, and three sites are recommended. These
sites should be distributed as widely as possible to adequately represent
all the variation within the reach. Reaches should be defined using geographical
criteria.
One species should be deployed at all sites to eliminate the difficulty
of interpreting data from different species. If deployment of bivalves
in both the wet season and dry season is maintained, side-by-side deployments
of several species should be continued for several years to determine
whether a suitable species is available for deployment in the wet season
at all sites west of Carquinez Strait. CTD profiles should be recorded
during each visit to deployment sites to allow further examination of
the effects of non-contaminant factors on bioaccumulation and bivalve
health. If cost savings are required while maintaining deployments in
both seasons, elimination of mid-deployment maintenance cruises should
be examined.
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3.2 Objective #2Measure the Bioavailable Portion of Contaminants
in the Water Column
Findings
Many trace metals do not appear to accumulate much above concentrations
measured in the "clean" populations used as sources for transplants.
It is not known whether the low accumulations in the transplants are due
to poor bioaccumulation or ambient concentrations that are similar between
the source locations and the Estuary. Nevertheless, trends apparent for
tissue concentrations of some metals, such as copper, suggest that ambient
conditions within the Estuary are being reasonably well represented by
the transplants.
In the case of mercury, however, there is evidence that bivalves may
not be the best indicators of bioavailability, especially of the most
toxic form of this element. Mercury is a contaminant of concern that is
found in very high concentrations in many fishes in the Estuary, most
likely in the methylated form. Mercury concentrations in fishes are sufficiently
high that health advisories have been issued warning people to limit the
amount of fish they consume from the Estuary. Although mercury concentrations
have declined significantly in mussels since 1993, primarily in the wet
season, it does not occur in very high concentrations in the transplanted
bivalves, and the best available information suggests that mussels are
not efficient accumulators of methylated mercury.
The transplanted bivalve method, as it is currently employed, also does
not seem to capture ecologically important short-term trends in organo-selenium
presence in the Estuary. Although RMP data indicate that increases in
dry season selenium are approaching statistical significance, U.S. Geological
Survey data from resident bivalves near Carquinez Strait suggest that
selenium fluxes to the Estuary may occur over periods of less than one
month. The time-integration design used in the RMP transplanted bivalve
program (90100 day deployments) does not capture such short-term
events. The current design also can meet the objective of assessing the
bioaccumulation potential of substances heretofore not identified. At
least three workgroups have proposed recommendations related to new pollutant
identification or diagnostic monitoring.
Recommendations
Some analytes should no longer be analyzed in bivalves. Mercury and arsenic,
in particular, do not appear to provide information that is helpful to
environmental or risk managers. While trends in mercury have been noted
in the transplanted bivalves, it would be prudent to add a resident or
transplanted bivalve component that is more sensitive to methylated mercury
and the temporal scales of selenium fluctuation. The frequency of analysis
of metals not on the 303(d) or the Regional Boards "pollutants
of concern" list should be reduced to once every 3-5 years in order
to maintain the trend database.
Assemble a database on known bioaccumulative substances and the current
state of knowledge on environmental effects (e.g., flame retardants).
Identify peaks on existing chromatograms according to Bob Risebroughs
proposal and determine what is known about potential environmental effects
of those compounds still in use today. Determine which (potential) pollutants
that are currently not on the RMP analyte list ought to be tracked. This
would add a proactive element to the RMP which would enable the Regional
Board to work with other agencies (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
pesticide registration, Department of Health Services, etc.) to determine
whether or not additional studies are needed prior to use restrictions.
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3.3 Objective #3Evaluate which Contaminants May Be Transferred
to Higher Trophic Levels of the Food Web
Findings
The findings for Objective #2 also apply to this objective. Use of the
California Mussel, Mytilus californianus, as the primary organism for
the transplanted bivalve component may also limit achievement of this
objective because this species does not normally occur in the Estuary
and it has no natural position within the food web. The Bay Mussel, on
the other hand, does occur throughout the Estuary and may survive at a
broader range of salinities than does M. californianus. If the current
side-by-side deployments indicate that it is a suitable transplant organism,
the Bay Mussel may improve achievement of this objective. Nevertheless,
deployment of transplanted bivalves in the water column may not adequately
represent transfer of contaminants from the sediments into benthos and
higher trophic levels. Other types of organisms, such as benthos or fishes,
may be the best way to assessing the transfer of contaminants to higher
trophic levels of the food web.
Recommendations
Develop additional ways to assess transfer of contaminants to higher
trophic levels. These should include a benthic bivalve, other invertebrates,
or fishes to evaluate bioavailability and transfer of sediment contaminants
to higher trophic levels.
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3.4 Objective #4Determine Pathways and Loadings of Contaminants
to the Estuary
Findings
Bivalve measurements are able to discern differences in contaminants
over spatial scales ranging from tens of meters to kilometers and over
temporal scales from months to years. They can be used to assess the relative
magnitude of contaminant problems at the terminus of watersheds and in
front of outfalls or other point sources. Bivalves may also be used within
this context to measure the response to clean-up efforts or other management
action within watersheds that have been identified as pollutant contributors
to the Estuary.
The patterns in contaminant concentrations indicated by Figures 4 and
5 suggest that substantial seasonal and spatial differences exist in contaminant
input or build-up in the Estuary. Although additional analyses should
be performed to determine whether the high PAH concentrations in dry season
samples from Yerba Buena Island to Redwood Creek are primarily petrogenic
or pyrogenic, they suggest the importance of aerial fallout from the busy
motor vehicle corridors that border this part of the Estuary. The regional
differences in PCB congeners may also indicate contaminant sources that
vary spatially.
The current configuration of the transplanted bivalve component limits
its ability to achieve this objective. The high variability of salinity
in the Estuary, especially during the wet season, necessitates deployment
of three different species for bioaccumulation measurements. Because bivalve
species differ in their bioaccumulation characteristics, site comparisons
are limited to those with the same species and sites with the same species
do not necessarily overlap with the geographic definition of reach. Side-by-side
deployments of multiple species currently being performed may determine
whether there is a single species suitable for wet season deployment at
all sites west of Carquinez Strait.
Recommendations
One species should be deployed at all sites to eliminate the difficulty
of interpreting data from different species. If deployment of bivalves
in both the wet season and dry season is maintained, side-by-side deployments
of several species should be continued to determine whether a suitable
species is available for deployment at all sites in the wet season. If
a single species cannot be found that survives at all sites during the
wet season, a subset of sites with more limited salinity variation should
be used. If cost savings are required while maintaining deployments in
both seasons, elimination of mid-deployment maintenance cruises should
be examined.
As the examination of contaminant pathways into the Estuary focuses on
smaller spatial scales, methods other than transplanted bivalves may be
more appropriate. For instance, tracing PCBs to upstream sources may be
best accomplished by using sediment sampling.
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3.5 Objective #5Determine Effects of Contaminants in the Estuary
Findings
Although the RMP bivalve monitoring component operates under the assumption
that the bivalve species used are unlikely to be affected by contaminant
levels found in the Estuary, this assumption has not been tested. Significant
correlations exist between concentrations of tissue contaminants and indicators
of bivalve health, but it has not been determined how either of these
factors affects the other. Investigators in other areas have found significant
biological effects of contaminants on bivalves, but it is not known how
non-contaminant environmental factors affect these biological indicators.
Other organisms, such as fishes or birds, may be better indicators of
contaminant effects in the Estuary. Previous studies have suggested that
contaminants in the estuary are at or above the threshold for effects
on some vertebrates (Spies et al., 1988; Spies and Rice, 1988; Davis 1997;
Davis et al., 1997).
Recommendations
Bivalve growth may be the best indicator of contaminant effects in the
current transplanted bivalve program. Tissue dry weight is measured as
part of the condition measurements and changes in tissue weight can be
easily determined from differences in tissue weight between the T-0 (pre-deployment)
bivalves and post-deployment bivalves. Tissue growth and contaminant concentrations
that have been adjusted for the effects of environmental factors can be
statistically compared to determine whether contaminants might be affecting
growth.
Although bivalve growth may be an indicator of contaminant effects, fishes,
birds, and mammals may be more suitable for this purpose. These forms
are more likely to show effects than are bivalves because they occupy
higher positions in the food web and will contain higher concentrations
of contaminants that biomagnify. A special study should be developed to
examine the effects of contaminants on fishes, birds, or mammals.
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