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2.5.1 Discussion
El Niño storms of 1998 delivered exceptionally heavy precipitation
and high streamflow to the San Francisco Bay watershed. The resulting
hydrologic conditions in 1998 were typical of wet years in the Bay area.
The distribution of contaminants in the Bay generally followed similar
spatial and temporal patterns that were established in the first five
years of RMP, as described in the 1996 Annual Report. However, extreme
weather conditions persisted unusually late in the year and had a significant
impact on the water quality conditions in both the April and July sampling
periods.
A series of storms in early 1998 provided twice the monthly average precipitation
in January and three times the monthly average for February (Roos 1998).
During this time, the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta outflow to the Bay
peaked above 9,000 m3/s. The winter months were then followed by unusually
wet weather in spring. The average precipitation for April was exceeded
within the first two weeks, while four times the monthly average fell
in May (CDWR 1998a, CDWR 1998b). Extended heavy rainfall in spring led
to the highest monthly average Delta outflow in April, June, and July
since the beginning of RMP. The extreme hydrologic conditions had a distinct
impact on conventional water quality parameters during the April and July
sampling periods. In late January and early February, surface salinity
dropped from 28-30 psu (~17 % freshwater) in the South Bay and Central
Bay to about 10 psu (~70 % freshwater) (Cloern 1999). In April, surface
salinities were still around 10-16 psu in the South and Central Bay (Cloern
1999). Large loads of suspended solids (TSS), which often coincide with
increased streamflow, entered the Bay well into the summer. In April,
the Baywide mean TSS concentration peaked at 114 mg/L, the highest recorded
average concentration for any cruise since RMP began. In addition, the
average TSS concentration recorded during the July sampling exceeded all
previously measured concentrations of TSS in summer RMP cruises.
2.5.2 The Effect of El Niño on Contaminant Concentrations
In 1998, contaminant concentrations tended to follow similar spatial
and seasonal patterns observed in previous years of RMP water monitoring.
High-flow conditions and associated high TSS concentrations that lasted
unusually late in the year had a noticeable effect on some particle-associated
contaminants, such as total trace elements. Similarly, high stream flows
mobilized and transported above average concentrations of some dissolved
contaminants to the Bay throughout the entire RMP sampling year.
Dissolved Trace Elements
Dissolved concentrations of many contaminants, including mercury, chromium,
lead, selenium, and zinc, were generally elevated throughout the duration
of the 1998 RMP study. Dissolved chromium reached average concentrations
in April (0.54 µg/L) and July (0.30 µg/L) that exceeded all previous
RMP results for those respective seasons. Similarly, the July sampling
for lead, selenium, and zinc yielded average Baywide concentrations (0.057
µg/L, 0.58 µg/L, and 2.18 µg/L, respectively) that were higher than
all of the previous summer sampling cruises in the RMP.
Average concentrations of dissolved mercury were elevated in January
in the Estuary Interface (0.0093 µg/L) and Northern Estuary (0.0044 µg/L).
The third and fourth highest concentrations of dissolved mercury in RMP
history were measured in January at the Guadalupe River (BW15, 0.015 ug/L)
and the Petaluma River (BD15, 0.014 ug/L). The average concentrations
of dissolved zinc in January (3.2 µg/L) and July (2.18 µg/L) were elevated
due to high concentrations in the Southern Sloughs, with maximum concentrations
measured at the San Jose site (C-3-0) during both seasons. Similarly,
the dissolved lead concentration in July (0.057 µg/L) was caused by a
high average in the Southern Sloughs (0.26 µg/L), the highest concentration
of lead measured in any of the reaches in 1998.
A few trace elements were heavily influenced by high concentrations measured
in the Estuary Interface stations, which were included in the RMP beginning
in 1996. Comparisons of 1998 data to previous years must be made with
consideration of the influence of concentrations from these sites during
the last three years. The average concentration of dissolved selenium
in July (0.58 µg/L) was the highest recorded for this element since the
beginning of RMP. This value was largely influenced by high concentrations
in the Estuary Interface (4.14 µg/L) and Southern Sloughs (1.18 µg/L),
exceeding 1997°s average (0.50 µg/L) and almost doubling the average
selenium concentration measured in 1996 (0.32 µg/L). These sites also
had higher concentrations of dissolved selenium in January and April compared
to all of the other reaches in the Bay. Dissolved chromium concentrations
in July (0.30 µg/L) were influenced by high concentrations in the Rivers
and Southern Sloughs, while April concentrations (0.54 µg/L) were mostly
influenced by high concentrations in the Northern Estuary and Estuary
Interface stations. Chromium concentrations in April more than doubled
the average Baywide concentration measured in the spring of 1996 (0.19
µg/L) and 1997 (0.24 µg/L).
Total Trace Elements
The extreme weather conditions during the January sampling led to the
highest Baywide average concentration (0.058 µg/L) of total mercury since
RMP began. In fact, the highest recorded mercury concentration (0.73 µg/L)
in RMP history was measured in the Guadalupe River (BW15) in January.
High flow conditions and associated TSS loads also had a significant impact
on total concentrations of nickel, copper, chromium, lead, and zinc, which
were consistently high through the July sampling. The highest Baywide
average concentrations since the beginning of RMP were measured for total
chromium (19.4 µg/L), copper (6.39 µg/L), and lead (2.67 µg/L) in April,
and for total zinc (20.5 µg/L) in the July sampling. The average concentrations
of nickel in April (11.2 µg/L) and July (8.8 µg/L) were the highest
measured in RMP history for those particular seasons. These peak concentrations
for the trace elements in April coincide with the highest Baywide TSS
concentration (114 mg/L) ever measured by the RMP. Similar to their dissolved
forms, increased concentrations of total trace elements in 1998 were influenced
by high concentrations in the Estuary Interface and Southern Sloughs,
and to a lesser extent, the Northern Estuary.
Organic Contaminants
Dissolved concentrations of the pesticides chlordane, chlorpyrifos, and
dieldrin were highest in July at all stations in the Northern Estuary,
Rivers, and Estuary Interface. The pesticide concentrations measured in
these reaches displayed a seasonal variation of increasing concentrations
from winter to summer. However, January concentrations were consistently
higher at South Bay, Central Bay, and the Southern Sloughs compared to
the two later RMP cruises.
Total (dissolved + particulate) chlordane and chlorpyrifos, among other
organic contaminants in the 1998 RMP study, were significantly affected
by laboratory contamination, as discussed in the following section. However,
total chlordane concentrations in the Estuary Interface and Southern Sloughs
were highest in April, with an average concentration of 4,400 pg/L measured
in the Estuary Interface. Total concentrations of dieldrin in July were
highest in the Northern Estuary, Rivers, and Estuary Interface. High concentrations
of dissolved and particulate pesticides in the Northern Estuary and Estuary
Interface suggest a steady contribution of contaminated sediment particles
from the Central Valley during the extended periods of high flow conditions
in 1998.
Total and dissolved PCBs followed similar patterns of contaminant distribution
as the pesticides. Dissolved PCB concentrations in July were highest for
all sites in the Northern Estuary, Rivers, and the Southern Sloughs, while
January concentrations were generally higher in the South Bay and Central
Bay. The highest average concentration (690 pg/L) was measured in the
Southern Sloughs in July. Despite significant contamination of samples
measured for total PCBs in January, unaffected data from April and July
samplings still suggest that the highest concentrations of total PCBs
in those months are found in the Estuary Interface, with an average concentration
of 6,600 pg/L.
2.5.3 Effects of Laboratory Contamination and Interference on Organic
Contaminants in the 1998 RMP
Water samples for organic compounds in 1998 suffered from more problems
of blank contamination (which also appear as matrix interferences) than
in previous years. This was in part due to a change in sourcing for sampling
supplies made without notice by a vendor to the RMP contract lab. The
lab attempted to correct for these interferences by post-extraction cleanup
procedures and reanalysis of the samples, with limited success. These
problems required additional evaluation and qualification of the data
by SFEI. The lab has assured RMP that in the future they will "trust no
one" and will perform cleaning procedures on all sampling supplies and
measure contaminants in these cleaned supplies prior to sampling. Generally
RMP does not employ a quantitation limit in the reporting of data, thus
for any compound with a signal above the background noise, a value is
given. Blank contamination indicates a probability of sample contamination,
and analytes in sample sets with measurable blank contamination have qualifiers
to indicate the increased uncertainty resulting from this. In the past,
sample measurements were simply designated as being less than (B) or greater
than (b) this increased uncertainty. However, due to the extensive contamination
in the 1998 data set, an additional category (B) was created for the PCB
data to designate data for congeners that were measured below the uncertainty
introduced by blank contamination but whose ratios to measured congeners
(in 1998) were sufficiently similar to previous years' ratios as to appear
unaffected by contamination. This was possible for PCBs and not for other
organic contaminant types because stable and thus predictable ratios among
congeners have been established for PCBs based on past RMP sampling, while
ratios among analytes within other classes of organics are variable and
not highly predictable. The uncertainties from blank contamination and
matrix interferences propagate into aggregate measures, like totals of
dissolved and particulate fractions, and sums of compounds in contaminant
groups (e.g. PCBs, PAHs). For totals, if either the dissolved or particulate
fractions were unmeasurable due to contamination or interferences, no
totals were provided because measurements in both fractions are usually
of the same magnitude. Similarly, if a third of the contaminants (weighted
by mass in previous years) for a sum were missing in the 1998 data, the
sum was not provided (S). These qualifications are made to the data set
to prevent the unmeasurable compounds from creating an apparent decrease
in sums for contaminant groups where there is insufficient data. Suitability
of the data for further interpretation is left for the user to determine
given the field data and qualifiers presented. Preparation steps taken
by the lab to minimize contamination and measure it before it might affect
samples should prevent such extensive problems in the data for the future.
Additionally, a process is underway to develop procedures for a whole
method detection limit rather than the instrument measurement detection
limit currently employed, which will give us a better indication of the
uncertainties in the whole process of measuring blanks and samples.
2.5.4 Comparison to Water Quality Objectives
This section provides a brief overview of how 1998 data compare to relevant
water quality guidelines (Table 2.1).
Of the ten trace elements measured, concentrations of mercury, copper,
nickel, chromium, lead, selenium, and zinc exceeded water quality guidelines
on one or more occasions (Table 2.2).
Nickel, mercury, and chromium were most frequently above guidelines. Although
many of the results for trace organics were not available due to contamination,
several of the reported organic concentrations, such as PCBs, DDTs, chlordanes,
and dieldrin, were measured above water quality guidelines (Table
2.3). The sum of 40 PCB congeners were well above the congener-based
ˆPCB criteria of 170 pg/L in all but eight of the samples analyzed.
2.5.5 Effects of Water Contamination
Previous RMP studies have assessed ambient water toxicity by determining
the percent normal development and percent survival of aquatic organisms
exposed to water samples from different reaches of the Bay. In 1998, the
RMP modified its monitoring strategy in order to allocate more resources
for studies on the effects of episodic storm events on water toxicity.
The baseline 1998 RMP study measured water toxicity at six sites located
in the northern and southern reaches of the bay. Toxicity tests using
Mysidopsis bahia indicated that none of the sites had significant water
toxicity during the February and July samplings. The lowest percent survival
(80%) was measured during the July cruise in the southern reaches of the
bay at Dumbarton Bridge (BA30) and Sunnyvale (C-1-3).
The Episodic Toxicity study, described in the 1997 Annual Report, measured
water toxicity at Guadalupe Slough, Pacheco Slough, and Mallard Island
during the winter and spring of 1997-98. Statistically significant toxicity
was consistently measured in water samples taken from all three of the
stations. Because the samples were generally collected immediately following
storm events, the study emphasized the influence of episodic events on
water toxicity in the Bay.
2.5.6 References
Cloern, J.E., B.E. Cole, J.L. Edmunds, T.S. Schraga, and A. Arnsberg.
1999. Patterns of water-quality variability in San Francisco Bay during
the first six years of the RMP, 1993-1998. Prepared for the San Francisco
Estuary Institute, Oakland, CA.
Roos, M. 1998. Water year 1997-1998. Interagency Ecological Program Newsletter.
11(2):11-13.
CDWR. 1998a. Report to the California Water Commission on activities
of the Department of Water Resources, April, 1998. California Department
of Water Resources, Sacramento, CA.
CDWR. 1998b. Report to the California Water Commission on activities
of the Department of Water Resources, May, 1998. California Department
of Water Resources, Sacramento, CA.
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