The goal of the RMP modeling strategy is to develop a capacity to predict the effect of different management alternatives on loads from watersheds, the recovery of contaminated areas on the Bay margin, threats from emerging contaminants, and the recovery of the Bay as a whole. This capacity will be gained through the development of conceptual and numeric models of the physical, chemical, and biological processes governing the fate of pollutants of concern in San Francisco Bay and its associated watersheds. These models will capture our understanding of pathways and processes controlling contaminant fate, assist in identifying information needed to refine our understanding of the system, and aid in the development of policies and evaluating the efficacy of management actions. The forecasting strategy group is overseen by the Contaminant Fate Workgroup.